A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.’s (NYSE:HRTG) 56% Share Price Climb

The Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HRTG) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 56%. The last month tops off a massive increase of 215% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States’ Insurance industry have price-to-sales ratios (or “P/S”) above 1.1x, you may still consider Heritage Insurance Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it’s justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Heritage Insurance Holdings

What Does Heritage Insurance Holdings’ P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Heritage Insurance Holdings could be doing better as it’s been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Heritage Insurance Holdings will help you uncover what’s on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Heritage Insurance Holdings’ P/S ratio would be typical for a company that’s only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 24% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 4.8% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That’s shaping up to be similar to the 6.8% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Heritage Insurance Holdings’ P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Heritage Insurance Holdings’ stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we’d caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Heritage Insurance Holdings’ revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Heritage Insurance Holdings that you need to take into consideration.

It’s important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.